24 Comments

Dr Pippa, we are definitely on the same page. I know that I personally want to protect my own ass.. ets...We do know that Putin definitely doesn't want to be prosecuted as a war criminal and that Xi has a zero COVID policy..

When we do the math... nuclear and/or biological "special military operations" are highly probable.

Thanks for your incredible insights to get us through this most troubling time✌️

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everybody now knows the RNA fingerprint of the covid virus. everybody now knows it's extremely airborne. trouble ahead. for humanity.

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Not good enough for a political novel screenplay.

For real politics, it is a pile of nonsensical nonsense combined with wishful thinking.

The whole concept behind it can be described with the following motto:

"I don't know anything, but I have to pretend otherwise, so I'll guess and make up what I can, without any limits, without worrying about the impossibility of it all."

Or maybe I was wrong, because it is a new-think in the best style of the "Hitchhiker Galaxy Guide".

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It’s Russia’s efforts to drive up oil and food prices that hurt the most.

Ah, the old Putin price hike?

Come on, Pippa. How stupid do you think your readership is?

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Putin is so sinister and evil that he manipulated the US into decreasing oil production, resulting in higher prices for everything especially food.

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Dec 25, 2022·edited Dec 25, 2022

Russia, U.S., + Europe have played a role in food inflation. Agri futures soared on the invasion. U.S. destroyed its own energy independence. Europe destroyed its own energy dependence before we did. Russia uses energy to oppose sanctions. U.S. prints money like it's never heard of the Weimar hyperinflation.

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Oct 26, 2022·edited Oct 26, 2022

You say: "driven by the leaders’ personal interests, which have superseded national interests and where rules of engagement have been replaced by “anything goes”. Russia and China call this “unrestricted warfare” The US calls it “Hybrid Warfare”. Think of it as a “grey zone” where events that are out of sight can be deadlier and more damaging than events you can see."

1. Then you spend the entire articles referring to Nation/States rather than personal or CORPORATE interests.

2. Never mention US dollar reserve status, monetary and fiscal policy (controlling currency as if not more important than political titles).

3. Suggest that Poland is under attack from Russia, when they will never be even close to being able to get to and through Western Ukraine (and perhaps even Kiev itself). Regime change, political leverage, or as YOU DO suggest - Geographic blitzkrieg.

4. Most importantly - "the medium is the message". Time to evolve way past Twitter, Meta, and TSLA UI and marketcap FARCES. Exceptional liberal values or negative interest rates and idiotic UI/UX for over a decade... (Twitter didn't invent the re-tweet button, they bought it, back in the good ol' days) like a forest-fire in outskirts of LA, cuz global warming or cause people move into and build using leveraged money in the path of catastrophes. How are those school reading scores in US?

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Well, I rose , ablouted, dressed, breakfasted, looked at the woke and left wing biased BBC headline reports then turned to my email and seeing an update from Pippa Malmgren, promptly opened and devoured it before I could even get a second bite of my marmalade toast. Dr. Cassandra....err sorry Dr. Pippa advises, rather cogently IMHO, that the next global conflict is in fact well underway.

I can see where both Pippa and Ferguson are coming from and frankly while largely agreeing with Niall we are not there yet, I have been aware for many months that something else has been going on. Its a sort of uneasy feeling, one that cant quite be placed yet views event happening all over the world and in the media as akin to building blocks. Its as if the "wall in the north" is being scaled and the White Walkers are slowly nearing the parapets....

I understand what Pippa is getting at and why she is saying that we might want to start paying attention. Some other commentators are dismissing her thoughts as over-baked, but I enjoy reading the musings of someone who should have better insights (and access to her brilliant father of course) than the vast majority of commentators. The severed subsea cable issues are something that particularly interests me and appears very underreported. My only question is why Poland is making so much fuss as an attack on Poland will trigger the Nato assistance article and guarantee a hot WW3. However, I do see the driver for Poland to escalate this conflict in Ukraine to try to keep it away from their borders as long as possible.

My biggest concern is that Nato seems to be in the driving seat backing Ukraine (which is destined to fall both economically and militarily) and there seems to be no obvious peacemakers out there. Indeed anyone who talks about peace seems to be attacked as a Putin supporter, a fascist appeaser etc. Seems to me the Ukrainian internet army are doing a stunning job compared to the vaunted Russian crowd who have certainly lost the propaganda war so far.

Any way, I enjoyed the article, understand Pippa's concerns and am now off to Sam's club for some more supplies and have ordered a lot more metals online, mostly brass and lead though as I have plenty of the gold and silver variety......

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As always, informative and lettered. Also entertaining........ Good on you.

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Hi Pippa,

Are you predicting here that Russia is going to conquer all of Ukraine and then attack Poland?

Based on their performance so far, it doesn’t look like they have the military wherewithal to do that.

They appear to more be in danger of losing a lot of the territory they took during the early weeks following their invasion of Ukraine rather than conquering any more.

Best,

Patrick

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founding

There are credible rumors Russia is in the process of mobilizing more than 1 million soldiers. They will attack Ukraine from northern positions in Belarus, from their current positions in Western Ukraine, and from the Black Sea. In tandem with this attack, Belarussian forces augmented by Russian SOF will close the Sulwalki Gap. All of these attacks will be prefaced by tactical nuclear weapons at strategic logistical points mainly in Western Ukraine.

It should be lost on no one that China has been mobilizing for war since before the beginning of Covid. As US admiral Gilday stated last week, an attack on Taiwan could occur this year. And weather-wise, the best window is the next 3 or 4 months.

From Russia and China's perspective, the US has declared war on them (the arming of Ukraine + sanctions & the Biden decision on semiconductors). So, they have little to lose waiting around and frankly far more to gain by acting quickly.

I was in Niger recently and it is bristling with soldiers from countries including: the US, France, Germany, Russia and China. I could not move anywhere in the north without a bodyguard contingent of more than 20 soldiers with a minimum of two technicals. The country is loaded with uranium and the superpowers are jostling for position. The Nigeriens themselves? They just want the best deal, but trust the Americans more than anyone else.

The real question is how Western populations will respond to war? The internal cracks in America are very easy for enemies to exploit. Nations at war need something to rally around. What common values remain between the right and the left? It is a question US policymakers should be examining very closely before plunging into the abyss...

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Oct 27, 2022·edited Oct 27, 2022

our leaders are trying to keep as much of this secret as possible. Most of it is not in the mainsream media. I suspect they are trying to mobilise the people for war due to all the difficulties involved, some of which you highlight. if they can keep this as a moral "we must help poor opporessed Ukrainae" and keep the rest off the mainstream press, this may be ne of the qitest global wars ever.

I think you have misunderstood the US, China and Russia. They are all dancing aroudn this problem. China does not want war with the US because the damage it will suffer will wreck it. Even Puitn does not want to provoke all out war with the US and is playing a cleverer game than many give him credit for.

Niger has been a corrupt and close to failed state for decades. Your experience of needing bodyguards is not so unusual.

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There is little indication that Russia is capable of putting 1 million properly trained troops into the field. Drafted recruits without proper training are already turning up among the fatalities in Ukraine.

People in the West may have actually overestimated Putin. He botched the invasion, botched the annexation, botched the mobilisation and has put Russia’s economy, which was already smaller than Italy’s, on a shrinking path, along with its population.

Not a great performance and not clear at all that it is going to get any better for him.

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I agree. However Puitn is an absolute dictator with little or not opposition inside Russia. The Russian pelpel will not rise against him. And for all his failings in Russia/Ukraine he ahs taken down three african democracies, all mineral rich. One under the noses of the French.

His mercs are active in much of africa and there seems to have bene some agreement with Xi about dividing parts of the world not of deparate interest to Xi.

His forces are active in the barents and arctic and jhe seems to be conducting asymetric war agasint NATO - cable cuttings in small areas, the attacking the nordstream pipelines and niw cyberwar agsint Britain.

We don't really know what he wants and how far he is prepared to go, but we don't seem to be taking him seriously enough. He could win by other means than major warfare,

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Putin has just had to do a humiliating U-turn on the grain transport deal when Erdogan called his bluff. He is in big trouble here despite the bluster and mystique. He has destroyed Russia’s economy, military and society for a generation.

When this is over, where will Russia be in the world? At best, a junior partner to China, more likely, a shadow of its former self, reduced territorially in the East with a declining population and an economy that produces little other than commodities, oil and gas, that developed economies are transitioning away from. Russia’s best young brains will have largely emigrated to countries that offer them a real future.

Putin is an utter failure and a disaster for Russia.

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Yes I notuced that, I was very surprisd. Good to see, but Erdogan is little better than Putin, another Autocrat.

I agree that Russia seems to have very little future except as a rump state. His gross abuse of his control over mineral and food wealth has been noticed.

However his merceary armies are doing a good job of nailing down africa, three democracies destroyed in about 12 - 18 months.

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I am repeating myself, but my jaw drops, my eyes wide open, and my brain spins everytime I read one of these. A heartfelt THANK YOU

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Interesting article, Pippa, and for which many thanks, although you may have muddled up your WWIIs with your WW111s in places. Also, it's 'Segue' not 'Segway'.

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Very interesting article. Thank you for this P.M.

(Minor note: I think you mean WWIII, when you write WWII.)

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Nov 10, 2022·edited Nov 10, 2022

The less said about "the press" the better.

It's not that "The press does not cover this hybrid, gray zone warfare because it’s happening in places they can’t see"; it's that the "press" (especially TV press) is owned by hollywood studios (Warner Bros, Disney, Universal, Fox, Paramount etc) and THEY DON'T COVER ANYTHING. Keeping people blind is their number one product offering.

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I have seen flight data suggesting the US sent an aircraft and refueled just past the UK which used missiles to hammer the Russian Pipelines just inside international waters. Then we have the matter of Truss's phone being hacked and a msg to 'Blinken' .... 'its done'.... fiction or fact Doc? Nobody has claimed it....

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While there is undoubtedly a great deal of activity going on out of sight to most, my concern rests on the fact that based on the current Administration's track record of consistent failures, whether military (Afghanistan withdrawal), economic (inflation/recessoin), and security (open borders), one has to wonder if they even recognize that there is anything beyond Ukraine, which even they can see. I fear things as murky as described would not be recognized by this administration, thus if responses are appropriate, I doubt they would make very good choices.

all in all, not comforting

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It's fascinating - this whole "keep the public at large blind to these secretive and potentially very dangerous goings-on seems to be the opposite of what the media does with regard to things to scare that same public - I speak of the supposedly life-ending "problems" that are not, in fact, really bad but since they are out of sight and essentially out of reach their invisibility is their greatest asset to those misleading people.

In his book "Fake Invisible Catastrophes and Threats of Doom", Dr Patrick Moore expounds on that theme - he says this:

"Awhile back it dawned on me that the great majority of scare stories about the present and future state of the planet, and humanity as a whole, are based on subjects that are either invisible, like CO2 and radiation, or extremely remote, like polar bears and coral reefs. Thus, most people have no way of determining the truth of these claims of alleged catastrophes and doomsday threats."

So, scare the peons with those alleged problems while whitewash over cut undersea cables, etc.

Hmmmm

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Your conclusions rest on your assertion that small nations such as Poland, Taiwan and Ukraine " will have their own plans" and cause WWIII to erupt. All are dependent upon the West and the U.S. for their weaponry. None are nuclear powers. It seems unlikely that these countries will act independently.

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